We have now gotten to the tipping point in the fantasy season. Some teams they know they are a contender and others know their season is not headed towards the playoffs. However, the majority of teams fall into that in between gray area. What you do if this is your team will determine your team’s future beyond this year in dynasty leagues. Do you sell or do you buy? The key is really going to come down to good self-scouting. Is your team really close to being a contender or is your roster just so-so? The hardest thing to do in fantasy is to look at your team through an objective lens. We are all competitive and want to believe our team is good enough to win, but reality says that isn’t the case. This is going to be an especially hard decision for those owners whose top picks are hurt (e.g. David Johnson, Aaron Rodgers, Odell Beckham Jr.). The good owners are the ones who look at their team and see it for what it is and not what they want it to be. They look at a player and see what is most likely to happen for that player moving forward, not a bunch of “if this, then he is a top 10 guy.” We are almost half way through the football season and by this point you should have a good idea of who players and teams are. There are some players who have stepped up versus what expectations were (e.g. Carson Wentz, Tarik Cohen) and some who have disappointed (e.g. Isaih Crowell, Mike Wallace). The point of this is, as you decide what direction to take your team, do so without wearing rose colored glasses. There is nothing wrong with punting on a season due to injuries and building for next year, and there is nothing wrong with giving up some future assets to go for it. However, there is something wrong with not doing a good job of self-scouting and choosing a direction. Let’s take an abbreviated look at whose stock is up and whose is down this week.
Carr looked like he was back to full health last week and certainly has the weapons around him for a strong second half.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you own Carr I would hold. If you don’t have him and the owner in your league isn’t sure last week was the real Carr try and buy.
I could have chosen about 10 different QBs here. Ryan is really missing Kyle Shanahan and it is looking more and more like last season was a career year.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you can sell Ryan to someone who still thinks he is last year’s Matt Ryan do so. If you don’t own Ryan it is worth asking about the price as long as you aren’t expecting him to duplicate last year.
It looks like this breakout is real for Thompson. With Washington’s WRs not distinguishing themselves it means more opportunities for Thompson. The surprising part about Thompson isn’t the catches, it’s that he leads the team in rushing yards.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you own Thompson I would hold unless someone makes you an unreal offer. If you don’t own Thompson his acquisition price is probably beyond what it makes sense to give up for him. I would hold off on buying.
This really has nothing to do with Anderson as he has performed well when he has gotten the chance. This is more a reflection of how little use he is getting (10 carries this past week) and less than 10 in 3 of their last 4 games. With the offensive line not playing well, and Trevor Siemian tanking, it has really hurt Anderson.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you own Anderson I would hold at least for another week. If you don’t own him it would be worth seeing what his owner would want. As someone who owns multiple shares of Anderson I can say I would be willing to move him.
Tedd Ginn Jr.
I can honestly say this makes zero sense to me. Ginn has always been a guy who has struggled to catch the ball. So far this season has 22 catches on 27 targets including catching his last 13 in a row over 3 games. He is clearly building nice chemistry with Drew Brees, and with Willie Snead struggling to get on the field, Ginn has value.
Buy, Sell or Hold – I don’t believe in Ginn long term so if I owned him I would sell now. If I didn’t own him I would not be looking to buy him.
This has very little to do with Fitzgerald and more to do with Drew Stanton and Blaine Gabbert. With Carson Palmer going down to injury the Cardinals passing game figures to take a step backwards. Combine this with Larry’s lack of production the 2nd half the last couple of years and it makes for a value down.
Buy, Sell or Hold – I would sell if you can but not give him away. There is someone in your league that still believes in Fitzgerald based on his name. If you don’t own Fitzgerald I would not be buying.
I know this one seems a bit obvious, but last week I said George Kittle as a value up and OJ Howard down. Howard went off for 2 TDs and Kittle did nothing so I need a layup to redeem myself. Ertz has established himself as the most consistent fantasy TE. He has caught at least 5 passes in every game but one and in that one game he had 2 catches which were both for TDs. For dynasty purposes he also has a good young QB in Carson Wentz who has a great chemistry with.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you have Ertz I would absolutely not sell. If you don’t have Ertz you can ask about acquiring him but expect the cost to be sky high as it should be.
Ebron is one of those guys that every year gets touted as being the breakout guy and every year he disappoints. This year is no different. In his last 4 games he has not caught more than 2 passes in any game and has not scored. No matter how great an athlete he is the production just isn’t there consistently.
Buy, Sell or Hold – I would not be buying Ebron if I didn’t have him. If you do have him I would shop him around as maybe someone will buy based on his “potential”.
As always, good luck to all in Week 8.