One of the reasons I really enjoy playing Dynasty Fantasy Football is how much more complex the decision-making process is when compared to a season-long league. For example, you might look at a player like Julio Jones or T.Y. Hilton in a season-long league and decide to trade them because they are having down years. However, in a dynasty league you have to consider beyond just this year. For Hilton, if Andrew Luck comes back next year does Hilton then return to form? I mention these two players because I have them both on one Dynasty Sports Empire team (d22). The team is 5-3, despite Jones and Hilton not producing, and leads the league in points. This team has a real chance to win the league especially if Hilton and Jones contribute more. It is realistic to think that these two players could also cost me the league if they continue to under-perform. What do you do? Do you put them on the trade block? If so, you are likely to not get an equal return. Do you hold and hope for the best? I feel like these are the decisions that a real NFL GM has to consider. If you are playing in a season-long league you can just make decisions that are short term. Short a RB this week due to the byes in a season-long league, no problem, just trade a player. In a dynasty league you would have to consider whether the RB you are going to trade has long-term value. As I mentioned last week, this is the time of year you have to make a decision to go for it or rebuild in a dynasty league. The hardest part of that is evaluating whether players like Julio Jones and T.Y. Hilton are going to get back on track in the 2nd half of the year. Make the wrong decision (hold them or trade them) and it can literally set your team back years. If you make the wrong decision in a season-long league it isn’t as big a deal because it resets next year.
Let’s take a look at some players whose stock is up and some whose stock is down after Week 8.
This one is pretty obvious as he went from backing up Tom Brady to the starting role in San Francisco. I think “Handsome” Jimmy has a chance to be a Top 10 fantasy QB thanks to working with Kyle Shanahan. The team will need to upgrade their talent around him but he is worth the risk for the 49ers.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you own Garoppolo I would hold. If you don’t own him he is worth asking about in a dynasty league. I wouldn’t pay a huge price but certainly worth exploring.
I am just not sure who he is going to throw the ball to week in and week out after the team traded Kelvin Benjamin. Let’s be honest, Benjamin isn’t a superstar but he was a fairly reliable target for Newton. This is a team that lacked weapons to begin with, and after trading one of their better ones, it doesn’t seem like Newtown is in a great spot. He wasn’t putting up great numbers with Benjamin on the team I can’t imagine they are going to go way up without him.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you can sell Cam I would do so. If you don’t own him I would stay away.
Damien Williams/Kenyan Drake
I don’t really think either of these guys is that good but they both should see a significant increase in usage now that Jay Ajayi has been traded. It will be interesting to see how the carries and targets are distributed the rest of the season and that will determine who the better fantasy option is.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you can get either of these guys on your waiver wire it would be worth the add. I wouldn’t give up very much to trade for either until you have a better idea of how the roles will be split. If you own these guys I would try and trade them. Maybe someone has a bye week issue at RB and will give you something of value. Certainly, no harm in trying to move them.
Earlier this season it looked like Smallwood was going to have a nice role with the Eagles especially after the Darren Sproles injury. Now, after the team traded for Jay Ajayi, it looks like Smallwood will have little, if any, impact. This is even more evident after he was out snapped last week by Corey Clement.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you own Smallwood I would see what you could get for him. If you don’t own him I would stay away.
With Kelvin Benjamin traded and Greg Olsen still hurt Funchess looks to be in line for a big target jump. The one potential issue will be that defenses will now be focused on him. He will need to show that even with added attention he can make plays. The opportunities are going to be there.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you have Funchess I would hold for a few weeks to see how he performs with Benjamin gone. If you don’t own him I would see what his owner would want in return. I am going to guess the price is going to be pretty high. If it is high I would stay away until it is clear how he will perform as the #1.
I have seen a lot of analysts who are pumping Benjamin up now that he has been moved to Buffalo. I honestly don’t see it. Buffalo is a run first team with LeSean McCoy. Beyond that, Benjamin isn’t a guy that creates a lot of separation from DBs and Tyrod Taylor is not a pinpoint passer. I think Benjamin will be fine in Buffalo, but I don’t see this as a better situation for him.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you own Benjamin I would be selling immediately. If you don’t own him I would avoid him.
The Colts passing game has been mediocre without Andrew Luck, as one would expect. However, Doyle has been great and has nice chemistry with Jacoby Brissett. Doyle has 42 catches this season including 12 last week. In the last three games he has 25 total catches and has scored twice. Since it doesn’t look like Andrew Luck will be back this year Doyle should continue to see a good share of the targets.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you have Doyle I would not sell. If you don’t own Doyle he is certainly worth trying to acquire.
Thomas has not had more than 3 catches in a game this season nor has he surpassed 60 yards or scored a TD. It certainly looks like his glory days with Peyton Manning are long gone as are his days of being fantasy relevant.
Buy, Sell or Hold – I would not be buying Thomas if I didn’t have him. If you do have him I would shop him around as maybe someone will buy based on his past.
As always, good luck to all in Week 9.