Fantasy baseball drafts and auctions are coming to a close as the MLB regular season is mere days away. Here are 11 players (eight hitters and three pitchers) that based on where they are going in drafts I feel are positive value guys to have on your team and are undervalued, i.e., guys that will out-produce where they were drafted at. You also will find listed below four players (two hitters and two pitchers) that based on where they are going in drafts I feel are negative value guys, i.e., guys that will under-produce where they were drafted at.
Hitter Positive Value Guys:
Marcell Ozuna is being drafted way too late. I see him hitting at least 26 home runs and driving in at least 80 RBI’s and having at least 70 runs. In my final rankings of the offseason I have Mr. Ozuna as my 24th best outfielder. He is being significantly undervalued.
Kevin Kiermaier also is being drafted way too late. I see him hitting at least 12 home runs with at least 60 RBI and 70 runs scored. The big deal is with him comes 20-plus stolen bases. I have him as my 25th best outfielder and feel, especially with how hard it is to find stolen bases, he is being significantly undervalued.
Carlos Gomez isn’t getting much respect. I see him hitting at least 12 home runs and driving in at least 60 RBI with at least 70 runs scored. His value comes with what I view as 20-plus stolen base potential. I have him as my 28th best outfielder.
Shin-Soo Choo is hugely undervalued. I see him having at least 12 home runs with at least 80 runs and at least 60 RBI’s. However, I also see him chipping in 10-plus stolen bases in 2017, and that has real value with the lack of stolen bases in the game today. That is 36th best outfielder value in my opinion.
Eduardo Nunez is getting slighted. I have him as the 19th best corner infielder. Believe me when I say that prior to last season I never saw myself ever typing that previous sentence when it comes to Mr. Nunez. However, he’s a corner infielder that I see providing 12 or more home runs with at least 60 runs and 60 RBI’s. His huge calling card is, you guessed it, is his stolen base potential from the hot corner. I see 25-plus stolen bases as a legitimate possibility here.
Tommy Joseph seems to be getting overlooked, but not by me. He is being undervalued. I have him as my 25th best corner infielder. I see Mr. Joseph hitting at least 26 home runs with 80 or more RBI’s and 70 or more runs.
I have Marcus Semien as my 17th best middle infielder. He’s a guy that I see producing at least these stats: 19 home runs, 70 runs, 70 RBI and 10 stolen bases.
I have Tim Anderson right behind Mr. Semien as my 18th best middle infielder who can produce at least 12 home runs, 70 runs, 60 RBI’s and 20 stolen bases. He needs to be given more respect.
Hitter Negative Value Guys:
The Washington Nationals loved outfielder Adam Eaton and apparently fantasy owners are giving him much love during drafting season. Just because a player is listed as a negative value guy doesn’t mean I don’t like the player or I won’t roster the player. It simply means at the spot in the draft he is going at I see better producers at the position going later on that I’d rather have. I have him as my 42nd ranked outfielder.
I have Mr. Bregman, the third baseman for the Houston Astros, as my 35th ranked corner infielder, but he traditionally has been going higher than that. This isn’t a knock on Mr. Bregman, I just believe that where he is getting drafted at is too high.
Starting Pitcher Positive Value Guys:
James Paxton, starting pitcher for the Seattle Mariners, is the Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy baseball right now. Mr. Dangerfield was famously known for the catchphrase “I don’t get no respect!” and, well, Mr. Paxton isn’t getting any respect with where he is usually drafted at. I have him as my 15th best starting pitcher, and one that I am confidently drafting as an ace-lite talent. There is endless love out there for Mr. Paxton among the Internet fantasy baseball writer community, so I am hardly the only one that views a full season breakout coming from him. However, I am one that has him ranked quite high, and thus fully am buying into the thought process that the breakout will happen and the only thing that will keep him from it is an injury, and really, that is a concern for any pitcher.
Speaking of injuries, Lance McCullers has been banged up in recent years in the health department. However, he is healthy now and has the talent needed to be a top-20 fantasy baseball starting pitcher. I have him ranked as my 16th best starting pitcher. He’s a great value that could have been had later in the draft. He’s a guy to target in trades now.
I have Michael Pineda as my 30th ranked starting pitcher. I’m admittedly bullish on him and believe that at 28-years-old he will become more consistent (ERA and WHIP that aren’t great but ones that won’t sink my team and that I can stomach as a floor and good ERA and WHIP numbers as a ceiling) and give me lots of strikeouts.
Starting Pitcher Negative Value Guys:
With all due respect to Zack Greinke, he is being drafted a bit too high in my opinion. I have him as the 31st best starting pitcher. I’d much rather have Gerrit Cole or Danny Duffy where he’s being drafted at.
I have Felix Hernandez all the way down as the 40th best starting pitcher in my rankings, and his past dominance is the driving reason that I don’t have him further down my list. I am giving him the respect that he is due by not listing him at, oh, say 50th. His lengthy past success and ability gives me some hope of a partial rebound, but I don’t rank based on hope. Many leagues are just drafting him too high in my estimation and I am not totally on board with him returning mostly to previous form. To me that’s just drinking too much of the hope Kool-Aid.
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