Welcome back folks to some more DFS bargain picks from Dynasty Sports Empire. Sorry I missed you folks last week. I ran into some unfortunate car trouble with my lease that had me on the side of the road for six and a half hours! It was a Black Friday indeed. The purpose of this article will be to get you where my car couldn’t get me, passed the finish line. Here are some bargains that’ll help you construct one of the more cost effective lineups in week 13.
**All cash values are obtained through Draft Kings**
**The rankings are taken from standard formats**
Alex Smith – KC ($5,400): The Chiefs have won five of their last six and will now head into Atlanta to take on the Falcons. When considering the price tag and the matchup, this is a pretty solid price tag. The Falcons are allowing an average of 296.2 passing yards per game and have allowed the third most touchdowns (25) to QB’s behind the Browns and 49ers. Smith hasn’t posted a 300 yard performance since week 1 and hasn’t had a multi passing touchdown performance since week 7 but if there was ever a matchup in which he could reverse those trends, this is it.
Matt Barkley – CHI ($5,000): The former USC Trojan quietly took over for an injured Jay Cutler and now at least from a fantasy perspective, has our attention. Last week, Barkely had thrown for the fourth most yards (316) among quarterbacks. Despite throwing two interceptions he was also able to throw three touchdowns. This was against a Titans defense that has been gutted by opposing offenses as of late. The strength of opponent is just as inviting as it was last week with the 49ers coming to town. The NFC West basement dwellers have allowed the fifth most points to opposing quarterbacks. They have also allowed 26 touchdown passes which is the second highest mark in the league. These two teams may combine for just three wins but that doesn’t mean this is a game that lacks fantasy potential. Both of these quarterbacks will be solid in week 13.
Rashad Jennings – NYG ($4,800): I won’t lie to you, I’m not in love with too many running back bargains. A lot of the running backs that should produce this weekend are given a price tag that suggests as much. I did want to showcase one for you though and Jennings appealed to me more so than others. Jennings as of late has been getting the majority of the backfield work with the Giants. This week they will take on a Steelers team that has been hitting an offensive stride. In these sorts of situations it sometimes suits a team best to run the ball in an effort to keep the opposing offense off the field. That sort of game plan will obviously work well for Jennings’ fantasy owners and the matchup is a favorable one. Some might be surprised to know that in standard formats the Pittsburgh Steelers have allowed the fourth most points to opposing running backs. The Steelers are one of just six teams in the league to allow over 900 yards rushing and double digit rushing touchdowns to opposing backs. As if that wasn’t enough, they are also allowing the second most receiving yards to backs (592) as well as 4 touchdowns through the air. It’s a sneaky matchup but it could pay off if needed.
Jarvis Landry – MIA ($5,400): If you’ve read my work over at Eat.Sleep.Fantasy then you would know that I like Landry this week, price tag or no price tag. DeVante Parker’s game day status is still to be determined as he deals with a back injury. In standard formats, the Ravens have allowed the fewest points to opposing running backs and the third fewest points to opposing tight ends. All of those things just solidify my thoughts that Landry will be relied on heavily this week in Baltimore. In Draft King scoring formats, the Ravens are allowing the 14th most points to opposing wide receivers. They are also tied for allowing the second most touchdowns to the position with 17. There is opportunity here and Landry has shown that he can carry the passing game before. In a pinch, you could do a lot worse.
Tyreek Hill – KC ($4,600): Last week, Hill went up against a Broncos defense that has allowed the fewest points to opposing wide receivers. No one must have told Hill that as he hauled in nine of his ten targets for 52 yards and a touchdown. The yardage may not have been that robust but the receptions and the touchdown was encouraging given the matchup. The NFL is practically flipping the script as Hill goes from playing one of the best defenses against the position to one of the worst. The Falcons have allowed 14 receiving touchdowns to the position and are also allowing 11.8 yards per reception. In the last three weeks, Hill has had two games of 10 targets or more. An eventual return of Jeremy Maclin could hurt some of Hill’s targets but this isn’t the week to pull back the reigns. The fantasy darling will continue to live on for another week. If you haven’t jumped on yet, whats the hold up?
Marquess Wilson – CHI ($4,000): Seeing as that I gave you only one running back, I’m going to go ahead and give you an extra wide receiver. Wilson likely helped no one last week when he caught eight passes for 125 yards and a score. That 125 yard output had him sitting with the third most receiving yards among wideouts in week 12. His price tag has since risen by a grand and with that he should have a few more optimistic eyes on him. Wilson led the Bears in targets with eleven but there were three other Bears behind him with nine. Others may see the equal distribution as alarming to Wilson’s value but those three Bears receivers behind Wilson only earned a combined 104 yards. Backup quarterbacks love relying on players who can take targets and turn it into offensive production. If that’s the case then this matchup in Week 13 could prove to be just as fruitful for Wilson. The Bears will play the 49ers who have been absolutely dreadful on defense. The 49ers are the only team to allow 20 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers. Justin Howard of the Bears will likely have a big game running the ball but Barkley will be throwing it.
Coby Fleener – NO ($3,500): I know I know. You don’t like this pick and quite frankly I don’t blame you, but hear me out. The Detroit Lions have been one of the worst against the tight end this season. In Draft Kings scoring formats they are allowing the sixth most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. They have the lowest amount of yards of the teams in the top 10 of most points allowed but have also allowed 8 touchdowns which is tied for the second highest in the league. The Saints have been leaning on Hill at the tight end position as well so that may alarm some people. He had 59 receiving yards last week after catching all four of his targets. That was the most receiving yards that he has had since week 6. One of these Saints tight ends are going to produce. It is like a poor man’s Gates/Henry combo. So if you’re in a pinch, you can go with Fleener or Josh Hill ($2,500).