The intention of this stock watch is not to highlight the obvious and tell you that Corey Coleman’s stock is down. If you need me to tell you that then you are in trouble in DSE. This is intended to look at some of the subtler risers and fallers. I am also adding in an element this week and moving forward of not just looking at whose stock is up, but whether to hold, sell or buy that player. Just because a player’s stock is up does not make them someone worth buying and just because someone’s stock is down doesn’t make them an automatic sell. As we all know fantasy football is a weekly game that ebbs and flows based on many factors including health, opponent, game plan and even health of those around the player.
It seems almost comical after two weeks that during camp many thought that Paxton Lynch would be the Broncos starter at QB. Siemian has looked fantastic in the first two weeks. There have been two major factors that have helped lead to his early season success and those are the improved offensive line and the improved running game. With Denver’s ability to run the ball they have put themselves in good spots to be able to throw. After CJ Anderson got hurt at the end of last year they struggled to run the ball which put Siemian in difficult obvious passing downs. The results were not good. So far, this year Siemian has done a good job of completing his passes (65%) and has thrown 6 TDs in two games. Even more encouraging is that this has come against decent competition in the Chargers and Cowboys.
Buy, Sell or Hold – I would say hold Siemian for now, but should the line get banged up be ready to sell
I am not sure whether this is more on Eli getting older and being in decline, or based on the fact his line is terrible. However, if you combine the two it is hard to think that Manning will make it through the year healthy. Beyond that, with Beckham dealing with his ankle injury and Brandon Marshall not playing well this is not a good situation for Eli. To make matters worse they don’t have a very good running game. While it is just two games things are not pointing in the right direction for the Giants or for Eli.
Buy, Sell or Hold – If you can sell Eli and get anything for him I would do it. If not, hold and hope he has a good game and then sell as quickly as you can.
It seems odd having to put the MVP of the Super Bowl on this list but I think White is a guy who is undervalued. When you think of the elite pass catching backs in the NFL you think Theo Riddick, Darren Sproles or Danny Woodhead. White should absolutely be on this list. This season he has more catches than Doug Baldwin, A.J. Green, Alshon Jefferey, Michael Thomas, Dez Bryant, Julio Jones and Theo Riddick. He also has 12 carries in two games which might not seem like much but he only had 39 last year along with his 60 catches. However, the best evidence I can give you that White’s value is up is what Tom Brady said about him the other day “I’ve played with a lot of great teammates, and James (White) is right up there with the best” via The Boston Sports Journal. White is clearly in Brady’s circle of trust and he should be in yours as well.
Buy, Sell or Hold – Buy now while people are still afraid to have shares of the Patriots backfield.
I really like Jordan Howard and still think he is an RB1. However, he is currently banged up, the team isn’t very good and Tarik Cohen is racking up catches left and right. All of this makes for a dangerous situation with Howard. While I don’t think he is in danger of losing his starting job his volume could go down. It is also clear that Cohen is the pass catching back which limits Howard’s value in PPR formats. Howard caught 29 passes last year and the hope was that he might get up to around 40 this year. Between the injury and Cohen that seems unlikely.
Buy, Sell or Hold – I would be out there trying to buy Howard if you can. His value is low right now and everyone is in love with Cohen. Understand there is some risk mostly due to the injury but the upside is there for sure.
I don’t think Kearse is a great player but I think he is in a great situation. He is on a team that is not good, the Jets, and is the only established WR on the team. His path to opportunities is wide open and thus far he has delivered with 11 catches and 2 TDs through two weeks. This is even more impressive as he just joined the team before the start of week 1. As his chemistry continues to build with Josh McCown I expect his numbers will also increase. Much like Kenny Britt last year with the Rams there is value to be had with a #1 WR on a bad team.
Buy, Sell or Hold – I would buy on Kearse as the price is likely not very high but the return should be solid.
This was the easiest one of the week to identify. In two weeks Wallace has 2 catches for 15 yards…TOTAL. This one really surprises me as no team lost more of last year’s targets than the Ravens did. Wallace was the #1 returning WR and the team threw the ball a ton last year. However, this year Joe Flacco is basically throwing the ball only to his TEs and RBs. Of Flacco’s 34 completions only 9 have gone to a WR, 15 have gone to TEs and 10 to RBs. Part of the reason for this could be the back issues Flacco has had. Due to his back Flacco might not want to push the ball down the field for fear of getting hit or simply because he can’t physically. Wallace had 72 catches for over 1,000 yards last year and many thought he would match or exceed those numbers this year. The Ravens seem to be playing a style of relying on their defense, running the ball and not taking many chances in the passing game. Expect Wallace’s struggles to continue until they have to start playing better competition and throwing more.
Buy, Sell or Hold – I would hold Wallace for now or try and buy low if you can. I still think he is going to put up some good numbers.
It is clear from the 8 catches for 79 yards that Doyle had this past week against the Cardinals that he and new QB Jacoby Brissett have some good chemistry. With it appearing that Andrew Luck will be out at least another couple of weeks Doyle seems poised to continue to produce. With Dwayne Allen no longer on the team and Erik Swope on injured reserve there isn’t much competition for TE targets on the team. With Brissett being young and still learning the offense it seems likely that he will continue to rely on the underneath safe options like Doyle. With so many TEs injured Doyle has a real opportunity to emerge as a TE1.
Buy, Sell or Hold – I would hold Doyle or if you can try and buy.
There comes a point in time where you just have to say it isn’t going to happen for a given player. At this point Cook is what he is and that is a low-end fantasy TE2. He had a dream matchup last week against the Jets and had 4 catches for 25 yards. While I think Cook will probably catch around 40 balls this year his upside just isn’t there. With the other weapons the Raiders have any TDs he gets seem more like an accident than part of the plan. I had a lot of hope for Cook heading to the Raiders as I did when he went to Green Bay and when he was on the Titans and the Rams. Even at a position that is facing a lot of injuries I can’t see Cook as a guy who has any real value beyond potential bye week fill in.
Buy, Sell or Hold – I would sell if anyone was willing to give you anything for him, which I doubt.
As always, good luck to all in Week 3.