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2021 DSE Football Projections: Offense

You are here: Home / Football / 2021 DSE Football Projections: Offense

By: Christopher Zelaya - Posted: January 10, 2021 Filed Under: Football

The 2020 NFL season reminded me of a 17-week rubbernecking delay. Given most everyone’s NEED for sports, the fans’ tolerance for NFL shenanigans was quite high, but, really, how many heads rolling down the highway does it take before the NFL figures things out? And, yes, that was a rhetorical question because the season is over, and Goodell never did figure it out; I wish I could say I’m surprised, but well yeah, I’m not! All-in-all, though, this 2020 season was definitely the strangest NFL season I can remember. It wasn’t all from COVID – I mean, yes, COVID was part of it with the delayed games to the non-stop players on COVID protocols (and penalties for violations of the NFL COVID protocols), to maybe the single most idiotic $50k Christmas Day fine, and my personal favorite of the “tanking” hilarity of week 17. However, now that we’re officially in the playoffs – and my Cleveland Browns have ended an 18-year playoff drought – I figured it was time to make some, possibly, way-too-early 2021 projections.

About these projections: I used an age-weighted, 3-year average for all players based on DSE IDP League scoring to project the 2021 Rankings. For a full set of our scoring, check out our IDP League rules page. However, since I’m not posting the projected point totals, instead, I’ve broken down each category into various tiers. It is worth noting that all players within a tier are within a relatively similar projected point category – I used a +- variance of 2.5ppg for each tier. A link to the offense player article can be found here >> Defensive Players.

Quarterback

Yes, I am aware I listed the two 2020 MVP candidates in tier 2, Aaron Rodgers, and tier 3, Josh Allen; and, yes, I am aware the GOAT, Tom Brady, is in tier 6. But remember, these are Dynasty rankings, not re-draft, and while that can explain Rodgers and Brady, Allen only this season figured things out, and I’m not convinced he’ll repeat these numbers next season. I’m also aware Lamar “The Running Back” Jackson is ranked 16, and in tier 4 with likes of Caron Wentz and Cam Newton, which was again, on-purpose because let’s be real, Lamar has a lot to learn, and the hype train has left the station.

RankPlayerTeamPosTier
1Dak PrescottDALQB1
2Justin HerbertLACQB1
3Patrick MahomesKCQB1
4Joe BurrowCINQB1
5Aaron RodgersGBQB2
6Deshaun WatsonHOUQB2
7Russell WilsonSEAQB2
8Kyler MurrayARIQB3
9Josh AllenBUFQB3
10Jared GoffLARQB3
11Matthew StaffordDETQB3
12Kirk CousinsMINQB3
13Ryan TannehillTENQB3
14Derek CarrLVQB4
15Nick FolesCHIQB4
16Lamar JacksonBALQB4
17Tua TagovailoaMIAQB4
18Carson WentzPHIQB4
19Cam NewtonNEQB4
20Mitchell TrubiskyCHIQB4
21Baker MayfieldCLEQB4
22Matt RyanATLQB4
23Marcus MariotaLVQB4
24Daniel JonesNYGQB4
25Drew LockDENQB4
26Ben RoethlisbergerPITQB5
27Ryan FitzpatrickMIAQB5
28Andy DaltonDALQB5
29Sam DarnoldNYJQB5
30Jimmy GaroppoloSFQB5
31Philip RiversINDQB5
32Teddy BridgewaterCARQB5
33Drew BreesNOQB5
34Tom BradyTBQB6
35Nick MullensSFQB6
36Jameis WinstonNOQB6
37Joe FlaccoNYJQB6
38Alex SmithWASQB6
39Gardner MinshewJAXQB6
40John WolfordLARQB6

Running Back

Yes, I have Derrick Henry ranked in tier 3; I mean, let’s face it, he’s no spring chicken. Yes, I have Zeke ranked in tier 4, mostly due to his lack of a 2020 season. And yes, I’m a Browns fan, and I have Chubb and Hunt in tier 4, mainly due to the coaches’ inability to stick with Chubb as their full-time, go-to back.

It may also ruffle some feathers for some people to see Henry ranked 5th, but, well, that’s what I do, isn’t it – ruffle feathers and shake up people’s perceptions and expectations. Now I could be wrong, and Henry could put up yet another 2000 yard season, but with the way things change year-after-year, I’ll bet against those odds.

RankPlayerTeamPosTier
1Christian McCaffreyCARRB1
2Alvin KamaraNORB2
3Dalvin CookMINRB2
4Jonathan TaylorINDRB3
5Derrick HenryTENRB3
6James RobinsonJAXRB3
7Austin EkelerLACRB3
8Aaron JonesGBRB4
9Ezekiel ElliottDALRB4
10Antonio GibsonWASRB,WR4
11D'Andre SwiftDETRB4
12Nick ChubbCLERB4
13Clyde Edwards-HelaireKCRB4
14Josh JacobsLVRB4
15David MontgomeryCHIRB4
16Joe MixonCINRB4
17Miles SandersPHIRB4
18Saquon BarkleyNYGRB4
19Kareem HuntCLERB4
20James ConnerPITRB4
21Leonard FournetteTBRB4
22Chris CarsonSEARB5
23J.K. DobbinsBALRB5
24Todd GurleyATLRB5
25Kenyan DrakeARIRB5
26Nyheim HinesINDRB5
27Myles GaskinMIARB5
28Melvin GordonDENRB5
29Ronald JonesTBRB5
30David JohnsonHOURB5
31Tony PollardDALRB5
32Devin SingletaryBUFRB5
33Marlon MackINDRB5
34Jamaal WilliamsGBRB5
35Chase EdmondsARIRB5
36Jeffery WilsonSFRB5
37Cam AkersLARRB5
38Boston ScottPHIRB5
39Tarik CohenCHIRB5
40Zack MossBUFRB5
41Sony MichelNERB6
42James WhiteNERB6
43Darrynton EvansTENRB6
44Phillip LindsayDENRB6
45Raheem MostertSFRB6
46Kerryon JohnsonDETRB6
47Mike DavisCARRB6
48Le'Veon BellNYJ/KCRB6
49Devonta FreemanNYGRB6
50J.D. McKissicWASRB6
51Gus EdwardsBALRB7
52Alex CollinsSEARB7
53Duke JohnsonHOURB7
54Joshua KelleyLACRB7
55Rex BurkheadNERB7
56Jerick McKinnonSFRB7
57Latavius MurrayNORB7
58Darrell HendersonLARRB7
59Reggie BonnafonCARRB7
60Kalen BallageNYJ/LACRB7
61La'Mical PerineNYJRB7
62Jordan HowardMIA/PHIRB7
63Alexander MattisonMINRB7
64Damien HarrisNERB7
65Giovani BernardCINRB7
66Justin JacksonLACRB7
67Wayne GallmanNYGRB7
68Carlos HydeSEARB7
69Mark IngramBALRB7
70Travis HomerSEARB7
71DeeJay DallasSEARB7
72Matt BreidaMIARB7

Wide Receiver

For some, the biggest surprise may be Metcalf in tier 2. I’m a huge Metcalf fan, but Seattle’s offensive line needs work. While I am an adamant believer in not betting against Russel Wilson, especially when the game is on the line, the wholes in the o-line and lack of a true go-to every-down back make it hard to rank Metcalf higher than 6. Michael Thomas stock may fall this off-season if Brees does in-fact, retire, especially since the Saints don’t really have a viable QB on their roster – not to say Winston isn’t viable, but more to the point the Saints don’t seem to believe in him as a legit QB option. Mike Evans could also be in the same boat if Brady decides to hang-it up, finally, but outside the Tampa Bay winning the Superbowl this year, I have a sneaky suspicion we’ll see Brady again next season – at 44-years-old.

RankPlayerTeamPosTier
1Justin JeffersonMINWR1
2Davante AdamsGBWR1
3Tyreek HillKCWR1
4A.J. BrownTENWR2
5CeeDee LambDALWR2
6DK MetcalfSEAWR2
7Stefon DiggsBUFWR2
8Mike EvansTBWR2
9Michael ThomasNOWR2
10Chris GodwinTBWR2
11DeAndre HopkinsARIWR2
12Calvin RidleyATLWR2
13Amari CooperDALWR2
14Chase ClaypoolPITWR2
15Brandon AiyukSFWR2
16Will FullerHOUWR2
17Tyler LockettSEAWR2
18Terry McLaurinWASWR2
19D.J. MooreCARWR2
20Keenan AllenLACWR2
21Allen RobinsonCHIWR3
22Cooper KuppLARWR3
23Tee HigginsCINWR3
24Diontae JohnsonPITWR3
25Tyler BoydCINWR3
26Robert WoodsLARWR3
27Laviska ShenaultJAXWR3
28JuJu Smith-SchusterPITWR3
29Julio JonesATLWR3
30Curtis SamuelCARWR3
31Deebo SamuelSFWR3
32Corey DavisTENWR3
33Kenny GolladayDETWR3
34Brandin CooksHOUWR3
35Darnell MooneyCHIWR3
36Marquise BrownBALWR3
37Mecole HardmanKCWR4
38Christian KirkARIWR4
39Jamison CrowderNYJWR4
40D.J. CharkJAXWR4
41Sterling ShepardNYGWR4
42Darius SlaytonNYGWR4
43Courtland SuttonDENWR4
44Adam ThielenMINWR4
45Jerry JeudyDENWR4
46Marvin JonesDETWR4
47Jarvis LandryCLEWR4
48Deonte HarrisNOWR4
49Michael GallupDALWR4
50Preston WilliamsMIAWR4
51Travis FulghamPHIWR4
52Odell BeckhamCLEWR4
53DeVante ParkerMIAWR4
54Jalen ReagorPHIWR4
55Antonio BrownNE/TBWR4
56Robby AndersonCARWR4
57Gabriel DavisBUFWR4
58Donovan Peoples-JonesCLEWR4
59Chad HansenHOUWR4
60Hunter RenfrowLVWR4
61Keke CouteeHOUWR4
62Mike WilliamsLACWR4
63Cole BeasleyBUFWR4
64Greg WardPHIWR4
65Michael PittmanINDWR5
66Nelson AgholorLVWR5
67Steven SimsWASWR5
68Jakeem GrantMIAWR5
69John BrownBUFWR5
70Devin DuvernayBALWR5
71Jakobi MeyersNEWR5
72Henry RuggsLVWR5
73Cordarrelle PattersonCHIWR5
74Zach PascalINDWR5
75K.J. HamlerDENWR5
76T.Y. HiltonINDWR5
77Russell GageATLWR5
78Denzel MimsNYJWR5
79Parris CampbellINDWR5
80Sammy WatkinsKCWR5
81Allen LazardGBWR5
82Julian EdelmanNEWR5
83Kendrick BourneSFWR5
84Tyron JohnsonLACWR5
85Randall CobbHOUWR5
86Keelan ColeJAXWR5
87Breshad PerrimanNYJWR5
88Marquez CallawayNOWR5
89Emmanuel SandersNOWR5
90Adam HumphriesTENWR5
91Tre'Quan SmithNOWR6
92Anthony MillerCHIWR6
93Richie JamesSFWR6
94David MooreSEAWR6
95Lynn BowdenMIARB,WR6
96Isaiah McKenzieBUFWR6
97Tim PatrickDENWR6
98Dede WestbrookJAXWR6
99Marquez Valdes-ScantlingGBWR6
100Tyrell WilliamsLVWR6
101James WashingtonPITWR6
102Golden TateNYGWR6
103Josh ReynoldsLARWR7
104Kalif RaymondTENWR7
105Quintez CephusDETWR7
106Albert WilsonMIAWR7
107Joe ReedLACWR7
108Pharoh CooperCARWR7
109Gunner OlszewskiNEWR7
110Rashard HigginsCLEWR7
111Scott MillerTBWR7
112Demarcus RobinsonKCWR7
113Braxton BerriosNYJWR7
114DeSean JacksonPHIWR7
115Chris ConleyJAXWR7
116Alshon JefferyPHIWR7
117N'Keal HarryNEWR7
118Isaiah FordMIA/NEWR7
119John RossCINWR7
120Josh GordonSEAWR8
121Willie SneadBALWR8
122Lil'Jordan HumphreyNOWR8
123Damiere ByrdNEWR8
124Brandon PowellATLWR8
125Ray-Ray McCloudPITWR8
126Andre RobertsBUFWR8
127Collin JohnsonJAXWR8
128Jaydon MickensTBWR8
129Kelvin HarmonWASWR8
130Auden TateCINWR8
131Tajae SharpeMIN/KCWR8
132Quez WatkinsPHIWR8
133Olamide ZaccheausATLWR8
134Marcus JohnsonINDWR8
135Mohamed SanuSF/DETWR8
136Kenny StillsHOUWR8
137Freddie SwainSEAWR9
138Diontae SpencerDENWR9
139Ryan SwitzerCLEWR9
140Tyrie ClevelandDENWR9
141K.J. OsbornMINWR9
142Rashard DavisTENWR9
143Jalen GuytonLACWR9
144Deontay BurnettPHIWR9

Tight End

Tier 2, Austin Hooper, and TJ Hockenson, as tier 3, maybe the surprises on this list heading into 2021. Realistically, neither has a great QB situation with Hooper slightly ahead if you believe Baker can figure things out – but as a Browns fan, I’m not a believer!

RankPlayerTeamPosTier
1George KittleSFTE1
2Travis KelceKCTE1
3Darren WallerLVTE1
4Mark AndrewsBALTE2
5Hunter HenryLACTE2
6Evan EngramNYGTE2
7Austin HooperCLETE2
8T.J. HockensonDETTE3
9Noah FantDENTE3
10Mike GesickiMIATE3
11Dallas GoedertPHITE3
12Albert OkwuegbunamDENTE3
13Zach ErtzPHITE3
14Jonnu SmithTENTE4
15Eric EbronPITTE4
16O.J. HowardTBTE4
17Tyler HigbeeLARTE4
18Irv SmithMINTE4
19C.J. UzomahCINTE4
20Will DisslySEATE4
21Logan ThomasWASTE4
22Robert TonyanGBTE4
23Hayden HurstATLTE5
24Dan ArnoldARITE5
25Jared CookNOTE5
26Gerald EverettLARTE5
27Rob GronkowskiTBTE6
28Dalton SchultzDALTE6
29Jordan ReedSFTE6
30Dawson KnoxBUFTE6
31Ricky Seals-JonesKCTE6
32Jesper HorstedCHITE6
33Kaden SmithNYGTE6
34Tyler EifertJAXTE6
35Matt FlanaganJAXTE6
36Jacob HollisterSEATE6
37Harrison BryantCLETE7
38Trey BurtonINDTE7
39Cole KmetCHITE7
40Jordan AkinsHOUTE7
41David NjokuCLETE7
42Anthony FirkserTENTE7
43Donald ParhamLACTE7
44Kyle RudolphMINTE7
45Jack DoyleINDTE7
46Tommy SweeneyBUFTE7
47Cameron BrateTBTE7
48James O'ShaughnessyJAXTE7
49Jimmy GrahamCHITE7
50Foster MoreauLVTE7
51Nick BoyleBALTE7

Feel free to reach out to me via Twitter @drunkenangelz.

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