A key part to fielding a competitive team each season in dynasty fantasy baseball leagues, leagues like the ones here at dynastysportsempire.com, is to be very successful in finding the right prospects to fill your fantasy baseball roster and/or minor league system with. As your star and solid players age the time will come when their skills and production on the field diminish and you had better have a player waiting in the wings ready to become the consistent starter in place of that ageing veteran. If successful scouting and prospecting hasn’t been done then your dynasty league team surely will be headed into a longer than desired rebuild phase.
The purpose of this top 10 fantasy baseball dynasty league prospect series is to highlight the best prospects available in each MLB organization. Every prospect ranking system should have some sort of easy at-a-glance phrase that illustrates the expected MLB future fantasy baseball value of a prospect. I have opted to use the 5 star rating system.
5 STARS = Elite Future MLB Player. Decent or better chance of being a superstar fantasy baseball player. These are prospects that, barring injuries plaguing them, I expect to have a solid chance of having multiple MLB All-Star seasons. Many will become superstar players for a couple seasons. Some will become decade long MLB and fantasy baseball superstar players.
4 STARS = Great Future MLB Player. Decent or better chance of being an All-Star fantasy baseball player. These are prospects that I expect to have a solid chance of having at least one All-Star season at the MLB level. Many will have multiple All-Star seasons and be very valuable dynasty fantasy baseball players to have on your roster.
3 STARS = Good Future MLB Player. Decent or better chance of being a dependable fantasy baseball player. These are prospects I expect to have a solid chance of having many seasons as an everyday MLB player.
2 STARS = Common Future MLB Player. Decent or better chance of being a common fantasy baseball player. Prospect has enough known “tools” and/or “skills” to warrant some legitimate hope he will become a common or better everyday MLB level fantasy baseball player worthy of a roster spot. This is not a guarantee such a thing will happen as there is still much uncertainty with these prospects.
1 STAR = Maybe Common Future MLB Player. Marginal or better chance of being a common fantasy baseball player. Some will eventually become everyday MLB players as every season some prospects have breakout minor league seasons and become deserving of a higher prospect rating the following off-season. Often you will find many recent international signings listed here and many recent amateur draft picks as well.
0 STARS = Organizational Depth. Little chance of being a noteworthy fantasy baseball player.
Note: This is a snapshot in time. Prospects will continue to try to turn their “tools” into productive “skills.” They will make adjustments. Some will fade. Others will take that next step. I will do a short write-up on each player to give you a better overall impression of the prospect’s current and future value beyond his current rating. The statistics listed here are courtesy of fangraphs.com.
5 STAR PROSPECTS:
- Scott Kingery
2B, Age: 23, DOB: 4/29/1994
Mr. Kingery hit 26 home runs this season, seemingly out of nowhere! Yay! Rejoice as fantasy baseball owners if you had him on your team already prior to that (or picked him up sometime this past season). However, I also need to quickly throw some cold water on the home run celebration. Here is his home run total, complete with plate appearances (PA) in each month of 2017:
April: 83 PA, 6 HR.
May: 139 PA, 10 HR.
June: 115 PA, 5 HR.
July: 111 PA, 2 HR.
August/September: 155 PA, 3 HR.
In his first 337 PA of the season at the AAA ball level Mr. Kingery hit 21 home runs. In his remaining 266 PA to finish the season he hit 5 home runs while there. We should be excited with how the season started for Mr. Kingery. However, lets temper that excitement a bit and see what 2018 holds.
I don’t believe you hit at or above the .200 ISO (Isolated Power) level on accident. Certainly, his spike to a .295 ISO…which was WAY higher than what his previous minor league track record was…might be a bit of a fluke. That said, I think he for sure can be seen as a .200 or higher ISO guy at the minor league level right now and has a decent shot of being such a player at the major league level for many seasons. That’s a solid power hitter.
Not only is Mr. Kingery a solid power hitter, he also is a prospect that hits for a nice batting average and who also can steal some bases.
4 STAR PROSPECTS:
- J.P. Crawford
3B/SS, Age: 22, DOB: 1/11/1995
The elite prospect luster has faded with Mr. Crawford. With that said, there is still hope he can become most of what talent evaluators envisioned him to become. After all, he just spent his age 22 season in AAA ball and even had a short amount of time at the major league level. We did see 15 home runs in 2017 at AAA ball (556 plate appearances). That, while not earth-shattering in and of itself, is 8 more than what he produced while at the AA and AAA ball levels in 2016 (551 plate appearances). He maintained a 17.4% K% and 14.2% walk percentage while in AAA ball in 2017. That is displaying excellent plate discipline. In short, there are still a lot of reasons remaining to believe in Mr. Crawford…even if his elite prospect luster has faded.
- Sixto Sanchez
SP, Age: 19, DOB: 7/29/1998
You have to appreciate the success that this 19-year-old prospect, young for the leagues he played in this past season, had in A ball (67.1 innings pitched) and A+ ball (27.2 innings pitched). Predictably his ERA (4.55) and FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) (3.42) were higher in A+ ball than they were in A ball (2.41 ERA, 2.35 FIP). Now look at these numbers in a different way. He was only 18-years-old until the end of July. To produce these numbers at his young age in these leagues is something prospect lovers should stand up and take notice of.
2 STAR PROSPECTS:
- Franklyn Kilome
SP, Age: 22, DOB: 6/25/1995
Mr. Kilome spent the bulk of his season in A+ ball (97.1 innings pitched). His 2.59 ERA and 3.54 FIP showed that he pitched well there. His time in AA ball (29.2 innings pitched) was tougher on him, to the tune of a 3.64 ERA and 4.27 FIP.
- Mickey Moniak
OF, Age: 19, DOB: 5/13/1998
This past season was Mr. Moniak’s first professional baseball at a level above Rookie ball. He spent all season in A ball and had 509 plate appearances. The .236 batting average was uninspiring, especially since it came along with a normal (for an average hitter) BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) of .292. He did steal 11 bases, but was caught on 7 other attempts. This is a former number 1 overall draft pick in 2016 that really needs to turn things on in 2018.
- Jorge Alfaro
C, Age: 24, DOB: 6/11/1993
Mr. Alfaro made it to the major leagues for an extended stay in 2017 (114 plate appearances) and made a name for himself with a .318 batting average and 5 home runs. Don’t be surprised to see him as the Phillies starting backstop next season.
- Adonis Medina
SP, Age: 20, DOB: 12/18/1996
Mr. Medina spent all of his 2017 season at the A ball level (119.2 innings pitched). He posted a 3.01 ERA and 3.34 FIP while having a 26.3 K% (great) and 7.7% walk percentage (average). This is a name on the rise.
- Dylan Cozens
OF, Age: 23, DOB: 5/31/1994
After 40 home runs and a .276 batting average with 21 stolen bases in 2016 while in AA ball (586 plate appearances) Mr. Cozens only hit 27 home runs with a .210 batting average and 8 stolen bases in AAA ball (542 plate appearances) in 2017. That raises concerns.
- Cornelius Randolph
OF, Age: 20, DOB: 6/2/1997
Mr. Randolph had 510 plate appearances in A+ ball in 2017 and had a decent season with a .250 batting average and 13 home runs.
- Roman Quinn
OF, Age: 24, DOB: 5/14/1993
The injury bug haunted Mr. Quinn in 2017 as he only had 197 plate appearances while in AAA ball. He is a stolen base threat and someone I could see one day hitting at the top of a lineup.
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